|
Published on Friday, January
6, 2006 by the Independent
UK Booming Population
'Threat to Climate Change Fight' by Andrew Woodcock
Environmental problems such as global
warming can be tackled only if the international community addresses the
problem of population growth, a leading scientist warned today. Professor
Chris Rapley, the director of the British Antarctic Survey, said the 76
million annual increase in the world's population threatens "the welfare
and quality of life of future generations". But he said population growth
was the "Cinderella" issue of the environmental debate, because its implications
are so controversial that nobody dares to raise it.
Scientific analysis suggests that the
Earth can sustain around 2-3 billion people at a good standard of living
over the long term, wrote Prof. Rapley in an article for the BBC News
website. But the current global population of 6.5 billion - expected to
rise to 8 billion by the middle of the century - means mankind is imposing
an ever greater "footprint" on the planet.
Advances made in the battle to rein
in climate change, such as last month's Montreal agreement, threaten to
be wiped out by the need of each additional person for food, shelter,
transport and waste disposal facilities. "Imagine organising the accommodation,
feeding arrangements, schooling, employment, medical care, cultural activities
and general infrastructure - transport, power, water, communications,
waste disposal - for a number of people slightly larger than the population
of the UK, and doing it each year, year on year for the foreseeable future,"
wrote Prof. Rapley. "Combined with ongoing economic growth, what will
be the effect on our collective human 'footprint'? Will the planet cope?
"Although reducing human emissions to
the atmosphere is undoubtedly of critical importance, as are any and all
measures to reduce the human environmental 'footprint', the truth is that
the contribution of each individual cannot be reduced to zero. "Only the
lack of the individual can bring it down to nothing. "So if we believe
that the size of the human 'footprint' is a serious problem (and there
is much evidence for this), then a rational view would be that, along
with a raft of measures to reduce the footprint per person, the issue
of population management must be addressed."
Prof. Rapley acknowledged that population
control and reduction was "a bombshell of a topic", raising profound moral
and ethical issues. Consequently, the issue was rarely raised when politicians,
scientists and campaigners discussed what needs to be done to protect
the environment, he said. But he warned: "Unless and until this changes,
summits such as that in Montreal which address only part of the problem
will be limited to at best very modest success, with the welfare and quality
of life of future generations the ineluctable casualty."
© 2006 Independent News and Media Limited
|
|